City status could bring about a house price boost for Southend
Research by the estate agent comparison site, GetAgent.co.uk, has looked at how a move to city status could bring about a considerable boost to Southend-on-Sea’s housing market.
In honour of Sir David Amess, the Queen has officially granted city status to Southend-on-Sea, a resort town with a population of around 190,000. It’s a fitting memorial for a man who long lobbied for his beloved town to be awarded the upgrade.
The new status opens up brand new avenues of potential economic growth for Southend and the surrounding region, from business and entertainment to education and the arts, and GetAgent’s research shows it could also help stimulate house prices.
GetAgent analysed house price growth across six cities in England and Wales to have already gained city status in the 21st century and how they changed over the year following this change of status.
On average, house price growth across newly designated cities increased by 14.2% over the following year versus just 11.6% across England and Wales as a whole.
Millennium competition
In 2000, national millennium celebrations included a number of towns in England and Wales being granted city status.
One such town was Brighton & Hove in England’s South East. In 2000, the average house price in Brighton was £107,029. 12 months after receiving city status, it had increased by 19.3% to £127,655. During that same year, the national average house price rose by just 11.6%.
Wolverhampton also became a city at the same time. One year later, prices were up by 9%; slightly below average, but still a strong performance for the West Midlands market.
Golden Jubilee
To mark the Queen’s Golden Jubilee in 2002, Newport in Wales and Preston in England’s North West were both granted city status. One year later, prices were up 28.5% in Newport and up 26.1% in Preston, both outperforming the national growth during the same year which sat at 20.9%.
Diamond Jubilee
However, city status doesn't guarantee above average house price growth.
For the Queen’s Diamond Jubilee in 2012, it was the turn of Chelmsford in the East and St. Asaph in Wales to become cities. The former saw immediate annual growth of 2.3% while the latter saw prices decline by -0.8%, with both trailing the national average of 2.8%.
What does this mean for Southend? Today, the average house price is £322,656. If the local property market follows the wider trend seen across previous locations to gain city status, the average increase of 14.2%, could see property prices climb as high as £368,336 over the next year.
Table shows 12 month average house price change for towns that gained city status since 2000, along with the national house price change for the same periods of time |
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Category |
Year city status granted |
Location |
Region |
AveHP - year city status granted (year ave) |
AveHP - year after city status granted (year ave) |
Annual change following city status |
Millennium competition |
2000 |
Brighton and Hove |
South East |
£107,029 |
£127,655 |
19.3% |
Millennium competition |
2000 |
Wolverhampton |
West Midlands |
£52,735 |
£57,504 |
9.0% |
England and Wales |
2000 |
England and Wales |
|
£79,272 |
£88,468 |
11.6% |
|
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|
Golden Jubilee |
2002 |
Preston |
North West |
£60,725 |
£76,565 |
26.1% |
Golden Jubilee |
2002 |
Newport |
Wales |
£78,642 |
£101,086 |
28.5% |
England and Wales |
2002 |
England and Wales |
|
£105,674 |
£127,733 |
20.9% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diamond Jubilee 2013 |
2012 |
Chelmsford |
East of England |
£222,078 |
£227,263 |
2.3% |
Diamond Jubilee 2014 |
2012 |
St Asaph (Denbighshire) |
Wales |
£128,266 |
£127,253 |
-0.8% |
England and Wales |
2012 |
England and Wales |
|
£174,715 |
£179,526 |
2.8% |
Average (median) change of cities % |
14.2% |
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Average (median) change - England and Wales % |
11.6% |
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Sources - Average House Prices: UK HPI, List of city status awards since 2000: UK Parliament |
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Table shows projected average house price change for Southend in the year following city status upgrade, based on the historic average of 14.2% 12-month growth |
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Category |
Year city status granted |
Location |
Region |
AveHP - year city status granted (Aug 2021) |
Potential change - one year after city status |
Potential price - one year after city status |
Sir David Amess - in honour |
2021 |
Southend-on-Sea |
South East |
£322,656 |
14.2% |
£368,336 |
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